COMPARE FIGHTERS
Deontay Wilder
44-4-1
Heavyweight
VS
Derek Chisora
36-13-0
Heavyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
High Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Deontay Wilder
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Wilder
Chisora
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Deontay Wilder to defeat Derek Chisora with a 69% probability (high confidence). Given Wilder's 95% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, p4p rating, and physical attributes. Wilder holds a 23cm reach advantage which could be a factor at range. However, at 39 years old, age could be a concern for Wilder.
🔑 Key Factors
Title Fight Pedigree
Wilder
Wilder 8/10 title fights vs Chisora 0/0 title fights
P4P Rating
Wilder
Wilder Rank #51 (0.774) vs Chisora Rank #926 (0.480)
Physical Attributes
Wilder
Wilder +14cm height, Wilder +23cm reach, Wilder age advantage (39)
KO Power
Wilder
Wilder (95% KO rate) vs Chisora (64% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Wilder
Wilder (91%) vs Chisora (73%)
Activity & Recency
Wilder
Wilder (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Chisora (2 fights in 2 yrs)
Experience & Durability
Chisora
Win streaks: Wilder 1, Chisora 3; Stoppage losses: Wilder 3, Chisora 4
Common Opponents
Wilder
5 shared opponents — Wilder 3W vs Chisora 3W
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Wilder | Chisora |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.863 | 0.406 |
| Opposition | 0.715 | 0.650 |
| Titles | 0.750 | 0.000 |
| Activity | 0.650 | 0.500 |
| Composite | 0.774 | 0.480 |
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Wilder | Chisora |
|---|---|---|
| Joseph Parker | Loss UD | Loss UD |
| Tyson Fury | Loss KO | Loss KO |
| Gerald Washington | Win KO | Win UD |
| Artur Szpilka | Win KO | Win KO |
| Malik Scott | Win KO | Win TKO |