COMPARE FIGHTERS

K

Kevin Lerena

31-4-0

Heavyweight

VS
R

Ryad Merhy

35-3-0

Heavyweight

⚡ FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Kevin Lerena
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Lerena Merhy
59%
41%
📊 Analysis

Our model predicts Kevin Lerena to defeat Ryad Merhy with a 59% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, head-to-head history, and physical attributes. Lerena holds a 7cm reach advantage which could be a factor at range.

🔑 Key Factors
👑 Title Fight Pedigree Lerena
Lerena 1/1 title fights vs Merhy 0/0 title fights
🔄 Head-to-Head History Lerena
Lerena won their previous meeting by UD
📏 Physical Attributes Lerena
Lerena +4cm height, Lerena +7cm reach, Lerena southpaw edge
💥 KO Power Lerena
Lerena (19% KO rate) vs Merhy (9% KO rate)
📅 Activity & Recency Merhy
Lerena (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Merhy (2 fights in 2 yrs)
📊 Win Rate & Record Merhy
Lerena (89%) vs Merhy (92%)
🥊 Experience & Durability Merhy
Lerena 35 fights vs Merhy 38 fights; Win streaks: Lerena 0, Merhy 1
🏆 P4P Rating Lerena
Lerena Rank #268 (0.666) vs Merhy Rank #368 (0.634)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
⚠
For Entertainment Purposes Only

Our predictions are generated by a logistic regression model that learned which factors matter most from thousands of historical fight outcomes. Results in boxing are inherently unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.


Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
ComponentLerenaMerhy
Win/Loss 0.773 0.832
Opposition 0.699 0.584
Titles 0.100 0.000
Activity 0.650 0.770
Composite 0.666 0.634
Head-to-Head Result

Kevin Lerena vs Ryad Merhy: Win by UD