COMPARE FIGHTERS

Tyson Fury

Tyson Fury

34-2-1

Heavyweight

VS
Arslanbek Makhmudov

Arslanbek Makhmudov

21-2-0

Heavyweight

⚡ FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Tyson Fury
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Fury Makhmudov
55%
45%
📊 Analysis

Our model predicts Tyson Fury to defeat Arslanbek Makhmudov with a 55% probability (moderate confidence). Given Fury's 71% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, physical attributes, and p4p rating. Fury holds a 19cm reach advantage which could be a factor at range.

🔑 Key Factors
👑 Title Fight Pedigree Fury
Fury 4/5 title fights vs Makhmudov 0/0 title fights
📏 Physical Attributes Fury
Fury +9cm height, Fury +19cm reach
💥 KO Power Makhmudov
Fury (71% KO rate) vs Makhmudov (90% KO rate)
🏆 P4P Rating Fury
Fury Rank #38 (0.799) vs Makhmudov Rank #146 (0.709)
🥊 Experience & Durability Fury
Fury 37 fights vs Makhmudov 23 fights; Win streaks: Fury 0, Makhmudov 1; Stoppage losses: Fury 0, Makhmudov 2
📅 Activity & Recency Makhmudov
Fury (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Makhmudov (4 fights in 2 yrs)
📊 Win Rate & Record Fury
Fury (93%) vs Makhmudov (91%)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
⚠
For Entertainment Purposes Only

Our predictions are generated by a logistic regression model that learned which factors matter most from thousands of historical fight outcomes. Results in boxing are inherently unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.


Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
ComponentFuryMakhmudov
Win/Loss 0.915 0.929
Opposition 0.719 0.638
Titles 0.670 0.000
Activity 0.860 1.000
Composite 0.799 0.709