COMPARE FIGHTERS
T
Tobias Reyes
17-1-1
Flyweight
VS
Miel Fajardo
12-3-2
Light Flyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Tobias Reyes
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Reyes
Fajardo
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Tobias Reyes to defeat Miel Fajardo with a 58% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: activity & recency, win rate & record, and experience & durability.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Reyes
Reyes (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Fajardo (0 fights in 2 yrs)
Win Rate & Record
Reyes
Reyes (92%) vs Fajardo (76%)
Experience & Durability
Reyes
Reyes 19 fights vs Fajardo 17 fights; Win streaks: Reyes 2, Fajardo 0
KO Power
Reyes
Reyes (88% KO rate) vs Fajardo (83% KO rate)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.