COMPARE FIGHTERS
Shokichi Iwata
15-2-0
Light Flyweight
vs
Erik Badillo
19-0-0
Light Flyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Erik Badillo
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Iwata
Badillo
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Erik Badillo to defeat Shokichi Iwata with a 56% probability (moderate confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: ko power, win rate & record, and experience & durability.
🔑 Key Factors
KO Power
Badillo
Iwata (7% KO rate) vs Badillo (32% KO rate)
Win Rate & Record
Badillo
Iwata (88%) vs Badillo (100%)
Title Fight Pedigree
Iwata
Iwata 0/3 title fights vs Badillo 0/0 title fights
Experience & Durability
Badillo
Iwata 17 fights vs Badillo 19 fights
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.