COMPARE FIGHTERS
L
Leigh Wood
28-4-0
Featherweight
VS
J
Josh Warrington
32-6-1
Featherweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Moderate Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Leigh Wood
PREDICTED METHOD
💥 Stoppage (KO/TKO)
Wood
Warrington
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Leigh Wood to defeat Josh Warrington with a 59% probability (moderate confidence). Given Wood's 61% KO rate, this fight is likely to end inside the distance. Key advantages: ko power, common opponents, and p4p rating.
🔑 Key Factors
KO Power
Wood
Wood (61% KO rate) vs Warrington (6% KO rate)
Common Opponents
Wood
2 shared opponents — Wood 1W vs Warrington 0W
P4P Rating
Wood
Wood Rank #141 (0.711) vs Warrington Rank #414 (0.623)
Title Fight Pedigree
Wood
Wood 4/5 title fights vs Warrington 4/7 title fights
Win Rate & Record
Wood
Wood (88%) vs Warrington (83%)
Experience & Durability
Warrington
Wood 32 fights vs Warrington 39 fights
Physical Attributes
Warrington
Warrington age advantage (33)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Wood | Warrington |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.801 | 0.624 |
| Opposition | 0.631 | 0.587 |
| Titles | 0.570 | 0.590 |
| Activity | 1.000 | 1.000 |
| Composite | 0.711 | 0.623 |
Head-to-Head Result
Leigh Wood vs Josh Warrington: NoContest
Common Opponents
| Opponent | Wood | Warrington |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Cacace | Loss TKO | Loss UD |
| Mauricio Lara | Win UD | Draw TD |