COMPARE FIGHTERS
R
Ryota Toyoshima
22-3-1
Welterweight
VS
Carlo Bacaro
14-1-0
Welterweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Carlo Bacaro
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Toyoshima
Bacaro
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Carlo Bacaro to defeat Ryota Toyoshima with a 53% probability (low confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: activity & recency, win rate & record, and ko power.
🔑 Key Factors
Activity & Recency
Bacaro
Toyoshima (1 fights in 2 yrs) vs Bacaro (2 fights in 2 yrs)
Experience & Durability
Toyoshima
Toyoshima 26 fights vs Bacaro 15 fights; Win streaks: Toyoshima 1, Bacaro 0
Win Rate & Record
Bacaro
Toyoshima (87%) vs Bacaro (93%)
KO Power
Bacaro
Toyoshima (50% KO rate) vs Bacaro (57% KO rate)
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.