COMPARE FIGHTERS
Tenshin Nasukawa
7-3-0
Super Bantamweight
VS
Juan Francisco Estrada
45-4-0
Super Flyweight
FIGHT PREDICTION
High Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Juan Francisco Estrada
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Nasukawa
Francisco Estrada
📊 Analysis
Our model predicts Juan Francisco Estrada to defeat Tenshin Nasukawa with a 65% probability (high confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: title fight pedigree, p4p rating, and win rate & record.
🔑 Key Factors
Title Fight Pedigree
Estrada
Nasukawa 0/1 title fights vs Francisco Estrada 5/7 title fights
P4P Rating
Estrada
Nasukawa Rank #1091 (0.428) vs Francisco Estrada Rank #101 (0.737)
Win Rate & Record
Estrada
Nasukawa (70%) vs Francisco Estrada (92%)
Experience & Durability
Estrada
Nasukawa 10 fights vs Francisco Estrada 49 fights; Stoppage losses: Nasukawa 2, Francisco Estrada 1
KO Power
Nasukawa
Nasukawa (29% KO rate) vs Francisco Estrada (9% KO rate)
Physical Attributes
Nasukawa
Nasukawa +2cm height, Nasukawa +8cm reach, Nasukawa southpaw edge
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
| Component | Nasukawa | Francisco Estrada |
|---|---|---|
| Win/Loss | 0.493 | 0.807 |
| Opposition | 0.381 | 0.657 |
| Titles | 0.120 | 0.720 |
| Activity | 0.940 | 0.940 |
| Composite | 0.428 | 0.737 |
Head-to-Head Result
Juan Francisco Estrada vs Tenshin Nasukawa: NoContest