COMPARE FIGHTERS

Luis Nery

Luis Nery

37-2-0

Super Bantamweight

VS
John Riel Casimero

John Riel Casimero

35-5-1

Super Bantamweight

⚡ FIGHT PREDICTION
Low Confidence
PREDICTED WINNER
Luis Nery
PREDICTED METHOD
📋 Decision
Nery Riel Casimero
53%
47%
📊 Analysis

Our model predicts Luis Nery to defeat John Riel Casimero with a 53% probability (low confidence). This fight is expected to go to the scorecards. Key advantages: common opponents, win rate & record, and p4p rating.

🔑 Key Factors
🔗 Common Opponents Nery
1 shared opponents — Nery 1W vs Riel Casimero 0W
👑 Title Fight Pedigree Casimero
Nery 3/5 title fights vs Riel Casimero 5/6 title fights
📊 Win Rate & Record Nery
Nery (95%) vs Riel Casimero (87%)
🏆 P4P Rating Nery
Nery Rank #41 (0.791) vs Riel Casimero Rank #169 (0.701)
📏 Physical Attributes Nery
Nery +2cm height, Nery +2cm reach, Nery southpaw edge, Nery age advantage (30)
💥 KO Power Nery
Nery (27% KO rate) vs Riel Casimero (17% KO rate)
📅 Activity & Recency Casimero
Nery (2 fights in 2 yrs) vs Riel Casimero (2 fights in 2 yrs)
🥊 Experience & Durability Casimero
Nery 39 fights vs Riel Casimero 41 fights; Win streaks: Nery 2, Riel Casimero 1; Stoppage losses: Nery 2, Riel Casimero 0
Prediction generated by a logistic regression model trained on 12,530+ historical fights. Boxing is unpredictable: any fighter can win on any given night.
⚠
For Entertainment Purposes Only

Our predictions are generated by a logistic regression model that learned which factors matter most from thousands of historical fight outcomes. Results in boxing are inherently unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future outcomes.


Radar Comparison
P4P Component Scores
ComponentNeryRiel Casimero
Win/Loss 0.911 0.702
Opposition 0.763 0.689
Titles 0.440 0.670
Activity 0.770 0.860
Composite 0.791 0.701

Common Opponents

OpponentNeryRiel Casimero
Kyonosuke Kameda Win KO Draw